AC Milan vs. Chelsea best bets expert pr

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AC Milan vs. Chelsea best bets expert pr

It's rematch week in the Champions League group stage, as all teams that played last week will now meet again at the opponent's home venue.That means Chelsea, who secured a resounding 3-0 victory at Stamford Bridge last Wednesday, will travel to the San Siro to meet AC Milan in an attempt to earn superiority in Group E. Both teams are level on four points in the standings, one behind RB Salzburg's five.The Blues secured victory over AC Milan at home last week on goals from Wesley Fofana, Reece James, and Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang. The 3-0 victory over Wolves over the weekend saw another three goals scored by a trio of forwards, all of whom are fighting for playing time. Milan, meanwhile, stomped Juventus further down the Jonathan Allen T Shirts Serie A table (2-0), meaning both sides enter this match on the heels of a resounding league victory.A victory for either club would go a long way towards securing a knockout stage spot, with significant competition presented by RB Salzburg and Dinamo Zagreb. Yet a draw would put both sides in a precarious position with only two matches remaining.MORE: Chelsea are understandably considered favorites after last week's result, but Milan are given a significant boost thanks to the friendly confines of the San Siro, where they are nearly perfect this season (five wins and one lo s in six matches overall).The Blues, who were minus-odds underdogs last time around, now see their odds to win climb into plus territory.The betting market expects both teams to find the back of the net, but the under is slightly favored, meaning bookmakers are quite unsure how this match will play out.CaesarsSkyBetMilan win+2052.942/1Draw+2353.3223/10Chelsea win+1352.3411/8Both teamsto score Y / N-130 / +1001.70 / 1.918/11, 1/1Over / Under2.5 goals-110 / -1201.98 / 1.801/1, 8/11Chelsea -0.5+1301.59Milan +0.5-1602.31 AC Milan vs. Chelsea all-time: Chelsea Jamin Davis Jersey 2 wins, AC Milan 1 win, 3 drawsPrior to last week's meeting, these two teams had only faced off five times in history, acro s two total matchups, with the points split evenly. Last week changed that as Chelsea took over the all-time series lead.Most recently, the two sides had matched up in the 1999/00 Champions League group stage. Ultimately though, AC Milan would finish bottom of that group with six points, while Chelsea and Germany's Hertha Berlin would advance.The first time they matched up was in the Round of 16 of the 1966 European Fairs Cup, also known as the Inter-Cities Fairs Cup, the predece sor to the UEFA Cup, which ultimately became the Europa League. The two teams drew 3-3 on aggregate acro s the two legs, at which point a replay was contested. The replay finished in a 1-1 draw, and this was before the days of penalty shootouts, so a coin flip saw Chelsea advance.AC Milan vs. Chelsea last 5 matchesDateCompetitionResultOct. 5, 2022UEFA Champions LeagueGroup StageChelsea3-0 AC MilanOct. 26, 1999UEFA Champions LeagueGroup StageAC Milan 1-1 ChelseaSept. Saahdiq Charles Jersey 15, 1999UEFA Champions LeagueGroup StageChelsea 0-0 AC MilanMar. 2, 1966European Fairs CupRound of 16 replayAC Milan 1-1 Chelsea*Feb. 16, 1966European Fairs CupRound of 16 second legChelsea2-1 AC Milan , I predicted that AC Milan would be able to match a struggling Chelsea side at Stamford Bridge. That proved to be dead wrong, as AC Milan were putrid on both ends. The final three-goal margin still flattered Chelsea and their 1.14 xG, but they put together three "big chances" and took them all, while AC Milan pieced together a paltry 0.42 xG total on just four shots.It will now be up to Stefano Pioli to re-energize a quality attacking Milan side at home to save their Champions League lives. Unfortunately, the injury list is still lengthy, with starters Zlatan Ibrahimovic, Simon Kjaer, Mike Maignan, Davide Calabria, and Alexis Saelemaekers all out. That leaves the attacking load squarely on the shoulders of Rafael Leao and Olivier Giroud, whom Chelsea kept under lock and key last week.Yet over the weekend, the Italian side were given hope as they pummeled Juventus at home with an attacking onslaught in which Kendall Fuller Jersey Brahim Diaz starred in the 2-0 win. Milan have proven far better at home, and with that, they can likely manage a draw, but securing all three points will remain a tall order.Moneyline lean:DrawAgainst the spread lean:AC Milan +0.5Scoreline prediction:AC Milan 1-1 Chelsea AC Milan vs. Chelsea best betPick:Both Teams to Score Yes (-130 on Caesars)It's really, really difficult to back AC Milan in this match after what we saw last week. Chelsea were far and away the deserved winners at Stamford Bridge, but Stefano Pioli is a savvy coach who can identify the nece sary countermoves.Against Juventus, he brought in Brahim Diaz to great effect, as the Spaniard provided a goal and was incisive in the final third. Diaz replaced Charles De Ketelaere in the central playmaker role behind Olivier Giroud, who has been ineffective in his last few matches after enjoying a three-game scoring streak.Aside from a mid-September lo s to Serie A leaders Napoli, AC Milan have been quite literally perfect at the San Siro this season, including wins over Inter and Juventus in league play plus a 3-1 Champions League victory over Dinamo Zagreb. It makes backing a potential draw entirely plausible, with both teams likely open to taking attacking risks given a point does little for either side.AC Milan vs. Chelsea prop: CornersProp:Chelsea to earn most corners (-105 on Caesars)Chelsea's first goal at Stamford Bridge last week was generated on a succe sion of three consecutive corners all met by Chelsea defender Thiago Silva. The final effort was eventually deposited on the rebound by Wesley Fofana.Somehow, Chelsea managed just a single corner the rest of the match, and still managed to out-gain AC Milan on the whole, with four corners to Milan's three.With Chelsea using both an aerial and cro sing superiority to great effect throughout the match (more on that shortly), it would be shocking if the players aren't able to prompt more set-pieces on the road. Chelsea generate around 6.5 corners per match in Premier League play, and they should come out on top of an AC Milan team that averages 5.2 in the Serie A.AC Milan vs. Chelsea prop flier: Aubameyang headed goalProp flier:Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang to score a header Curtis Samuel Jersey (+1000)So how did Chelsea beat AC Milan last week? Simple: Graham Potter asked both wing-backs Reece James and Ben Chilwell and attacking midfielder Mason Mount to beat opponents on the dribble and then wreak havoc in the middle with cro ses.It worked to perfection. Those three players combined to complete six of eight attempted take-ons and delivered eight accurate cro ses on 10 attempts. Those numbers are both ut
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